All posts by Deb_Williams

Monfex’s Analyst offers more support for a Bitcoin bull market

Monfex’s Analyst offers more support for a Bitcoin bull market

                                

 

According to its TradingView profile,

trading platform Monfex is echoing the general market sentiment by offering a strong buy signal for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently just below $8k USD, down from a 30 day high of $8,300 USD on May 16, 2019.

Bitcoin finally seeing daylight

These numbers follow an extended bear market for Bitcoin. This pattern included a nearly five month trough, where BTC struggled to stay above $3,000 USD. 2018’s dismal cryptocurrency market followed an extended period of exceptional growth for cryptocurrency. Led by Bitcoin, cryptocurrency saw unprecedented prices and industry expansion. While prices decreased over 2018, overall industry growth showed no signs of slowing.

Therefore, for dedicated cryptocurrency enthusiasts and investors, recent upward momentum in the charts is merely a sign of technological advancement and increased traditional market visibility. However, this upward price momentum continues to elicit excitement and anticipation amongst the most seasoned cryptocurrency traders. Will it is particularly good news for those with a specific stake in Bitcoin, trends within BTC and ETH have historically led the entire digital currency market.

The numbers don’t lie

Monfex analysis signals a strong buy based on careful technical analysis. Their TradingView profile includes analysis of these predictions. One post in particular outlines a long view trading strategy based on a combination of technical and market factors. One of the first things Monfex notes is that Bitcoin is currently overvalued as a short-term investment. This is based on a significant deviation from its mean value. Mean value is calculated based on a 20-day moving average and a linear regression channel. According to these indicators, Bitcoin should be valued between $7,000 and $7,500 USD. It currently sits at about $7,990. This price is $400 below the May 16 high, but also $400 above the central tendency.

A more recent Monfex post offered an updated point of view. Rather than predicting a slight correction, analysts instead suggested several weeks of flat charts through the end of May. Following this pseudo-correction, strong upward movement to the next plateau is expected. According to Monfex analysts, traders should buy in at $7,400. At this price, they should not anticipate another strong resistance level until about $11,500. This resistance level is a good time to sell. Monfex uses this price as a Take-Profit marker.

Opposing opinions

Other outlets express continued concern over Bitcoin’s viability as a long-term trading option. The primary challenge many analysts see for Bitcoin is its inability to move beyond an investment opportunity into the world of payments. Other experts disagree with this point of view. Even cryptocurrency entrepreneur and visionary Tyler Winklevoss has no qualms comparing Bitcoin to gold in terms of its investment potential.

Tom Lee and Tim Draper both share similarly maximalist opinions, regardless of the state of Bitcoin’s widespread use case. Lee offers 13 key indicators that the bottom of the current cycle is over and the time to buy is now. Venture capitalist and fiat market expert Tim Draper shares similar views, and an even higher Bitcoin price prediction. JPMorgan, however, warns that a continued bear market is not out of the realm of possibility. Noting eerie similarities to the 2017 bull run on Bitcoin, JPMorgan Chase analysts express concern over its unexpected April performance.

Bitcoin prices surged 100 percent, driving the token out of an extended through that lasted over 5 months. The recent surge is likely the result of multiple factors, including international trade relations, particularly between the U.S. and China. Other considerations could be the Consensus conference, particularly its depiction of a cryptocurrency climate evolving toward increased legitimacy. Bitcoin prices were last above intrinsic value during the height of the 2017 bull run. The comparisons between 2017 and today are not without merit. At around 10 percent, current overpricing cannot be considered moderate.

Why trust Monfex?

Built on Bitcoin and simplicity, the Monfex trading platform is a fresh take on cryptocurrency trading. Appropriate for seasoned traders and beginners alike, Monfex provides an easy to navigate, easy to use platform. For those looking for specific key features in a trading site, Monfex provides the following:

  • Bitcoin funded
  • Leverage up to 50 times
  • Traded against USD
  • Currently 12 cryptocurrencies
  • Low minimum trade size
  • No withdrawal fees/low trading fees (spreads and commissions)
  • Cold wallet storage

Proceed with caution

As always, caution should remain at the forefront of any cryptocurrency investment. With just over a decade of history to work from, even the most experienced and savvy of analysts runs the risk of a big mistake. In fact, due to the wide variance in opinions expressed by traders and analysts alike across both fiat and cryptocurrency, the reality is that at least one viewpoint is bound to be very wrong.

Article Produced By
Bitcoin Garden

This content is brought to you by the Bitcoin Garden staff.

https://bitcoingarden.org/monfexs-analyst-offers-more-support-for-a-bitcoin-bull-market/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

XRP Likely to Outperform Bitcoin There are 50x More in Circulation Than BTC

XRP Likely to Outperform Bitcoin, There are 50x More in Circulation Than BTC.
                                 

Bitcoin has been the King of cryptocurrency

since it started trading from a few dollars to now thousands of dollars. Experts who have done comprehensive forecast on the performance of all the digital assets believe Ripple XRP will be the future crypto king, outperforming Bitcoin. Craig Cole of CryptoMaps is one of the experts who believe that Ripple XRP will set the stage for cryptocurrency institutional adoption.

How Would XRP Out Perform Bitcoin

Ripple XRP acceptance by banks and other financial institutions will trigger off cryptocurrency institutional adoption. Ripple has brought in innovations into the financial industry via blockchain technology by helping financial institutions save money and maximize profit. The use of digital currency is on the rise and XRP is likely to be the base token for transfers and exchanges. If this happens, XRP will likely reach Bitcoin level or even surpass it.There Are More 50x More XRP in Circulation Than BTCXRP out numbers BTC in existence, like fifty times more than BTC. Though XRP is in drops and BTC in Satoshi, there will be more demand for XRP which will increase its value.

About 59 billion XRP is in escrow, excluding that, will be about twenty times more drops of XRP than Satoshi. These drops have the possibility of appreciating in value depending on the demand. Currently, XRP market performance has improved more than it was a couple of months ago. It has now gone up at 20% since the beginning of the year. The reported volume in the last twenty-four hours at the time of writing is $919m, trading over 22% at a current price of $0.30 and $0.34. XRP investors had been so discouraged by its performance a few months ago, even when BTC picked up, XRP price was still not encouraging. Now XRP is soaring high even at the time when other altcoins are struggling. The market performance is expected to get better, mostly now that Ripple has put some touch on all the features on its platform.

Article Produced By
Judith Riseshine


Hi I am a crypto writer, blockchain enthusiast, financial and travel blogger. Though a finance professional, crypto and blockchain are now my specialty. I write to inform you of what is happening in the crypto space and how the blockchain technology is changing the world. Besides writing, I am a digital marketer, promoting ICOs and other products.

https://todaysgazette.com/xrp-likely-to-out-perform-bitcoin-there-are-50x-more-in-circulation-than-btc/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Bitcoin Is Taxable BTC Is an Asset not a Currency Israeli’s Court Rules to Favour Tax Authority

Bitcoin Is Taxable, BTC Is an Asset not a Currency – Israeli’s Court Rules to Favour Tax Authority
       Bitcoin Is Taxable, BTC Is an Asset not a Currency – Israeli's Court Rules to Favour Tax Authority

Bitcoin (BTC)’s  acceptance as real currencies confront stern challenges

on daily basis. A court in Israel has ruled in favour of the country’s Tax Authority, taking Bitcoin as an asset, but not a currency. Lod’s Central District Court ruled yesterday in support of Israel Tax Authority in its quest to make Bitcoin (BTC) and related digital assets’ trading taxable in the country. During the court session, Judge Shmuel Bornstein stressed that the reliability and existence of Bitcoin is still gloomy, it could be eventually replaced by another virtual currency. The Judge said this scenario will make accepting Bitcoin as a currency a bit difficult, especially for tax purposes.

The Israel Tax Authority in its argument clamoured that Bitcoin (BTC) emerged as an asset and was never a currency.  So cannot be termed as a foreign currency, making all profits made through its sales taxable. Noam Copel, founder of blockchain startup DAV was the appellant in the case. Copel reportedly went into Bitcoin (BTC) trading about 8 years ago, which he later sold with a relative profit of NIS 8.27 million. In Copel’s argument before the Judge, he claimed that Bitcoin should be treated as a foreign currency, and gains from trading it should be classified as exchanges between individuals, not as a business transaction. He reiterated that buying and selling of Bitcoin should not be taxed.

However, Copel’s stance was rejected by Judge Bornstein, and was ordered to pay a sum of NIS 30,000. This ruling makes the appellant due to remit tax of about NIS 3 million. The appellant lost the test case due to his inability to prove that Bitcoin (BTC) has physical and sure manifestation except being virtual currency that cannot represent physical notes in any country’s economic system. Nevertheless, the court action might not stop there as the appellant is liable to proceed to Supreme Court for final verdict.

When Bitcoin came to being in 2009, it was more like a valueless asset, but it grew up to $100 between 2011 and 2013. At press time Bicoin (BTC) is trading at $7,871.85, this implies that whoever that accumulated the digital asset 7 years ago without selling would be known as a multi-millionaire today.

Article Produced By
Solo

I am a creative writer and a cryptocurrency enthusiast. Learning and writing about Bitcoin (BTC), Ripple's XRP, and TRON (TRX) are my hobbies.

https://todaysgazette.com/bitcoin-is-taxable-btc-is-an-asset-not-a-currency-israelis-court-rules-to-favour-tax-authority/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Bank of China Council Member: Owning Bitcoin Is Still Legal in China

Bank of China Council Member: Owning Bitcoin Is Still Legal in China

                                

Sa Xiao, Council Member at the Bank of China Law Research Association,

was reported as saying that holding Bitcoin in China is still legal. Xiao added that in addition to that, trading Bitcoin amongst individuals remains legal in the country.

Holding Bitcoin Is Still Legal in China

China has been one of the strictest countries for cryptocurrency enthusiasts due to the ban imposed on some crypto activities in the country. However, it is still legal to own Bitcoin in the country, according to a Council Member at the Bank of China Law Research Association.

In a report by The Beijing News, Xiao was cited as saying that owning Bitcoin is legal in the Asian country. While cryptocurrency exchanges have been banned from operating in the country, people can still transfer Bitcoin amongst themselves, Xiao added. According to the current framework in place, people have the right to possess virtual properties, Bitcoin included. Also, occasional P2P trading of Bitcoin is in nature a “disposition right,” one of the rights of “ownership.” Therefore owning & occasional P2P trading is legal in the country.

In its report, The Beijing News mentioned a case where over a hundred people were scammed of more than 7,000 BTC. The scammer claimed that they would borrow users’ BTC to arbitrage between exchanges and distribute profits to the users afterward. However, the scammers ran off after the users’ last large deposit. While talking about this, Xiao stated that anyone who runs a Bitcoin trading business and causes significant customer losses with severe consequences, then there is a chance the person could get punished according to criminal law (225#4 Other illegal business practices that severely disrupt market order).

The Chinese Government Still Clamping Down on Cryptos

China’s stance on cryptocurrencies remains harsh despite regulatory efforts by other leading nations around the world. Last month, Blokt reported that the Chinese government is considering banning cryptocurrency mining activities in the country. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), which is the top economic body in the country, recommends that the government should shut down crypto mining facilities in China.

According to the NDRC, cryptocurrency mining is a waste of resources (energy), pollutes the environment, and it is classified as an activity that does not contribute to the overall growth of the country. If the government follows the recommendation of the NDRC, then cryptocurrency mining would join ICOs and crypto trading as illegal activities to carry out in China. The government of Beijing’s Chaoyang district also banned commercial venues in the region from hosting cryptocurrency-related events. At this point, it is unclear if China will reverse its position on cryptocurrencies anytime soon. The country is no longer the leading cryptocurrency trading region in the world, a position it had occupied prior to the ICO and cryptocurrency trading bans.

Article Produced By
Hassan Maishera

Hassan is a cryptocurrency and stock market writer and enthusiast. The financial world has become his primary interest, with movies and books being some of his favorite pastime activities. He is an investor in many blockchain projects including Bitcoin, Stellar Lumens, Cardano, VeChain, Gifto, and Cindicator.

https://blokt.com/news/bank-of-china-council-member-owning-bitcoin-is-still-legal-in-china

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Bibox Europe Gives Coinbase Competition Offers Fiat On-Ramp for Traditional Investors After Equity Backing from Top Bank

Bibox Europe Gives Coinbase Competition; Offers Fiat On-Ramp for Traditional Investors After Equity Backing from Top Bank

Bibox Europe (Bibox EU) secured full regulatory compliance, allowing it to offer cryptocurrency offerings linked to the world of traditional finance.

                                

Bibox EU is making forays into linking digital assets

with the world of traditional finance. The market operator has secured full regulatory compliance, making it capable of offering reliable fiat-to-crypto services for retail and

institutional investors.

“Bibox EU allows easier access to digital assets by supporting fiat currency to crypto brokerage service and provides a reliable platform for all investors to build their own crypto portfolio. And we are regulated and compliant with Swiss banks and insurance companies having its back”, Bibox’s cofounder Aries Wang said.

In addition to the success of setting up a fiat gateway, Bibox EU has secured a funding round, through an equity investment coming from one of the top 10 banks in the world. Additionally, Bibox EU has access to the service of multiple Swiss banks, allowing it to support transactions within the regulatory framework.

Bibox thus follows the latest developments in the cryptocurrency space, where fiat access is becoming more important. The approach of Bibox EU is expanding on the moves of market operators like Coinbase to offer more chances for direct purchases of digital assets. Combining compliance and banking access has allowed Coinbase to expand its services to an additional 85 countries, and more than 100 in total. Coinbase has achieved this through the fully compliant USD Coin (USDC). Bibox EU offers another unique approach for a fiat on-ramp, exclusively accessible to 27 member-countries of the European Union and additional compliant states.

Bibox EU has four major directions of development in building the full fiat gateway for traditional finance investors. The first direction is getting access to digital assets through the most widely used fiat currencies – US Dollar, Euro, British Pound, and Swiss Franc. Secondly, Bibox EU offers fully compliant custodian services, offering greater ease and security for cryptocurrency storage. Bibox EU is under insurance coverage, securing all funds and transactions on the platform. Furthermore, the financial service provider is also aiming to add credit card services, as well as launching OTC trading desk to provide crypto brokerage.

Thus, Bibox EU sets out to be a blockchain financial service company, recognized by leading banking partners. The market operator has reached out to hedge funds, asset management firms and family offices, with the goal of creating the Bibox Finance Ecology. The exchange puts high importance on compliance and security, moving beyond the unregulated phase of the crypto-to-crypto markets. The European Union legislation also offers a clear framework for compliance and is one of the regions hosting some of the best-performing fiat-to-crypto and OTC services. Additionally, Bibox works as an innovative, highly liquid crypto-to-crypto exchange, offering its own BIX native token for trading incentives. The Bibox Token (BIX) is trading at $0.33, up more than 250% since the start of 2019.

Article Produced By
Christine Masters

Business writer with a knack for bubbles and market madness. Has tracked it all: the financial crisis of 2008 and the implosion of Lehman Brothers; bank bailouts and peak gold and silver, penny stocks…and now Christine has moved to cryptocurrencies for fresh stories.

https://cryptovest.com/news/bibox-europe-gives-coinbase-competition-offers-fiat-on-ramp-for-traditional-investors-after-equity-backing-from-top-bank/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Internal Revenue Service is All Set to Release Crypto Tax Guidelines

Internal Revenue Service is All Set to Release Crypto Tax Guidelines

The Internal Revenue Service recently announced that it would be fixing the new guidelines for tax on crypto.

Because the IRS identifies crypto as property and not currency, it is because it is taxable to purchase and sell crypto. Consequently, tax rules which apply for property transactions, such as the sale of collectable coins or vintage vehicles, but not real estate tax rules, are also applicable to Bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies. The fair market value of transactions measured in US dollars must be reported. So if you bought a Bitcoin pizza, you would have the Bitcoin available in dollars equivalent to pizza costs (fair market value).

IRS Commissioner Charles Rettig said in his new address to Emmer that the agency “had it as a priority” to issue the appropriate guidance. The directive specifically addresses issues like acceptable methods for cost basis calculation, cost-based allocation, and fork tax treatment.

Transactions shall be reported in US dollars at their fair market value.

Recent Twitter survey shows that the vast majority of crypto investors refuse to report taxes and are prepared to risk tough sanctions if they find out the unreported earnings from the Internal Revenue Service. Investing Crypto is already risky because it is an emerging market and technology which is not fully utilized at the moment, but it is absolutely flammable to avoid paying taxes. Exchanges work with IRS actively to provide customer information that can be used to compare reported profits or losses. Those who do not report correctly are at or worse risk of being audited.

Article Produced By
Roxanne Williams

Roxanne Williams has recently joined as a market reporter for CryptoNewsZ – the 24/7 crypto news site, where she produces recent stories, technical analysis and price updates on world's leading cryptocurrencies.

https://www.cryptonewsz.com/irs-to-introduce-guidelines-for-crypto-assets-related-taxes/20791/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Peer-To-Peer Pressure: Risks vs Reward and a Changing Regulatory Landscape

Peer-To-Peer Pressure: Risks vs. Reward and a Changing Regulatory Landscape

Peer to peer lending also known as P2P is not a new phenomenon.

People have always turned to their friends and family for financial assistance when caught between a rock and a hard place. It was either that or the cutthroat pawnshop owner or the shadowy lenders down a dark alley. Before the recession, many a person in need of a loan could comfortably approach a bank and get their credit problems solved. However, with the collapse witnessed in the banking sector, things took an about turn, and stringent borrowing measures took the loan out of reach for most people in need.  

The rise of peer to peer lending

The rise in the popularity of peer to peer lending has been partly attributed to a growing need for alternative lending sources outside the brick and mortar lending institutions. The other could be the financial need of the younger generations in the job market that does not have the stable financial future cushion the older generations had to rely on.  With little in terms of job security, the gig economy is on the rise, meaning that there will not be much to rely on as far as employer matched pension benefits are concerned. So millennials and their peers are out there looking for a way to make that extra buck that will make their future more comfortable.  These age groups are also leaving tertiary institutions tangled in high student debt more than witnessed in any other generation in history. They, therefore, need these alternative lending sites, for credit for their business ideas and start-ups, since most of them are deemed not worthy of credit by most banks.

Why P2P lending has had such an unbeaten run

With this crowdfunding method, you will be matched to an investor willing to lend you cash for interest. Banks have for eons thrived on low-interest charges lent to savings accounts and high-interest charges lent to creditors.  Younger investors have found out that P2P lending can give them higher returns on their investments, much better than bank savings.

With these ultra-low rates on savings, banks have put their clientele in a bind and opened the door for alternative lending sources. These alternatives have thrived and taken away their customers right under their noses. P2P lending also has fewer overheads than brick and mortar lenders. Investors, therefore, can have better ROIs and also give affordable interest rates to the borrowers…It’s a win-win for all parties.

The dark clouds on the horizon

As for 2018, the peer to peer lending industry in the U.S had hit the $3 billion mark. A clarion call is continually being sent out to more youngsters with deep pockets to join in, in the largely unregulated trade. Riding on the wave of financial technology they are appealing to millennials who have a deep distrust for banks and their out of date and inefficient systems. This age group are digital mavens and flourish where the service and industry are, and so, they are responding in droves to the P2P attraction.

P2P lending is of course very different from traditional lending or short-term lending from companies.  Why? If you are planning to lend some money to your friend, you will have a harder time making that transaction legal. Banks thrive in the legalism they in conjunction with the law have built for mutual interest. P2P is however very different from cash saving for investors or lenders. An investor could lose everything they have plowed into lending for interest if the borrower defaults. The transaction in this sector are primarily unprotected and not covered by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).  

Peer-To-Peer Pressure

In the UK, financial regulators are preparing methods to crack down on the marketing efforts of P2P lending sites in fear that more people are throwing their money into these pools through false advertising. In 2018, these platforms transacted £6.1bn as loans. And while there is great risk apportioned to these investment platforms, the reward is that their interest rates far exceed most of what is found on other investment instruments.

However as young investors enjoy the rates and grow their savings, the UK Financial Conduct Authority has its eyes fixed on the glossy ads that are inviting more and more hapless investors to the market.  Most are going overboard and putting in more they can afford in the hopes of striking it rich. With reported increased investor losses on loans, profits to investors are on a decline, and many a long time investor is preparing to leave the scene.

Regulation and closure

There has been increasing criticism over this crowdfunding method, especially after the massive collapse of their Chinese P2P lending platforms in 2016. One of the greatest dangers these platforms raise to investor assets is that they often grow to large pools of money giving the platform owners the onus loan out more risky investments in a bid to expand.  

The expansion helps the platform sell off the business faster with less worry about the risks they have put their investors in. They can just get their millions, wash off their hands and walk away to the sunset, leaving their investor’s finances in disarray. In China P2P lending took off like fire to fuel, hitting 6000 platforms in a few years. By 2017, the transactions this industry commanded totaled more than $445 billion. In a move to regulate the sector, the Chinese government moved in to shut down some platforms like Ezubao that was more Ponzi in its operations than a crowdfunding business.  

Soon some of the Chinese largest P2P lenders started to exit the scene claiming that the new regulations were making it hard to turn in a profit. As of February 2018, there were less than 2000 platforms of this nature operating in China. With the Chinese government still on the move with regulations more and more platforms shut down, often freezing the assets of their investors on their downward spiral. Lenders began to panic and withdrew their funds en masse causing a further loss of funds and investor confidence in the sector.

Guo Shuqing, the chair of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission later issued a statement to the effect that investors had swallowed hook line and sinker the ‘too good to be true’ deal that Chinese P2P platforms represented. He warned that while the high returns of 6% were questionable, those beyond 8% were dangerous, while those higher than 10% would cause investment losses. The upheaval witnessed in China has not hit the United States yet, but with growth, it is expected that the law and the taxman will make a move too.

Pros of P2P lending

  • Peer to peer platforms fills a natural void in the lending market and in the community need to share the resources available to them. There is a mutually beneficial relationship between borrower and lender that has less red tape than experienced in other lending sectors
  • You will get to enjoy higher returns than those of many different investment channels.  
  • You have the choice of who to lend depending on your risk tolerance.
  • There is a lot of personal satisfaction derived from helping out a worthy person in genuine need of finances. If for example a borrower has a sketchy financial history, but has a sob story that arouses your sympathy, you can assume the risk of the loan or forego the high returns of the investment.
  • The sense of community and camaraderie in P2P sites is very inviting, and their forums are very heated and active. There is also the spirit of helping each learn about healthy borrowing and lending.
  • It is a good investment source for anyone that dislikes saving their cash in a bank
  • The denial rate for P2p loans is much lower than what is witnessed in banks.
  • The borrowing and lending relationships built over time can be forged to more profitable long-term relationships due to the nature of the platforms
  • The opportunity to invest and make profits is open to small scale investors as well who would have a harder time reaping off such benefits in other sectors
  • As per statistics, over 80% of all investors on these lending platforms have either met or exceeded their ROI. It works!

 Cons of P2P lending

  • The available loans are often small and in many P2P platforms limited to $35,000, though there are variances.
  • Poor credit histories will still keep some borrowers away
  • The loans are not insured so a lender capital could be entirely or partly lost, especially when dealing with dishonest borrowers who have perfected their sob storytelling techniques
  • P2P platforms tend to publish what many borrowers consider private financial stories. Some borrowers may, therefore, prefer an impersonal brick and mortar lender to the publicity of a P2P platform
  • As the industry grows and shapes itself, regulations, consolidations may become a risk and a burden, chasing away disciplined investors.

Our advice

To stay on the safe side, do your due diligence before committing your hard-earned cash to a P2P platform. Gauge the health of a platform not only by its sheer size, but by its performance for years. Do as much as you to minimize your exposure by ensuring that you do not put all your eggs in one single basket.

Article Produced By
Mark

https://themerkle.com/peer-to-peer-pressure-risks-vs-reward-and-a-changing-regulatory-landscape/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Litecoin LTC Price Analysis and Prediction 2019 Hanging Around Doing Nothing Waiting For Bitcoin Move

Litecoin (LTC) Price Analysis and Prediction 2019 – Hanging Around, Doing Nothing, Waiting For Bitcoin Move

                                

4H LTCBTC

LTC is resting Fib618 level at 0.0114BTC, right below an intersection of EMA20 and MA50 after it got rejected at Fib50 (December lows – April high) at 0.0129 BTC. LTC is right at the breakdown level – Fib618 at 0.0114 BTC and if LTC fails to defend it, it would probably dip to the Fib786 at 945k sats. Breakout level is in the zone of two Fibonacci382 levels (April high – May low) at around 0.0140-0.0143 BTC. Smashing this level would see LTC reach 0.0159 BTC or even higher (0.017 BTC). Moving averages are aligned in descending order so a leg down is more likely than a leg up.

Daily LTCBTC

LTC needs to break 0.0123 BTC zone to enter an intermediate bull market on the daily chart. This level is a converging point for EMA20 and descending trendline that started back from April highs. MA200 is right below the price action and should serve as a support should LTC keep this correction phase.

LTCUSD

Due to the BTC’s slump, LTC lost some of its USD value. It is still, however, hanging around the support at $84-89 on EMA20 and Fib236 level. Failing to sustain this level could see us stoop to $78 or even a local bottom of $65 (in case bitcoin drops heavily and drags the whole market with itself). A surge up would mean a re-test of the $107 resistance. One bullish scenario that could play out for LTC in the upcoming days is the formation of a bullish pennant pattern. Considering that there is less than 100 days until the LTC halving, this could be the ideal time to long litecoin.

One thing to bear in mind is the turbulent and erratic nature of bitcoin – a sudden thrust up or slide down is always on the cards which would invalidate this and all other analysis and predictions. In such cases, market is shaken up with most traders exiting altcoins and entering bitcoin positions or seeking shelter in stablecoins, especially in the initial phases of bitcoin pumps and dumps. So it is always a good idea to keep a close eye on bitcoin’s behaviour before opening a long or a short on any other coin in the market. Should this happen, stop by again to check out our updated charts and thoughts. Trading volume is big but questionable – reported volume in the last 24hrs is $3.1 b and “Real 10” (trading volume on the exchanges that provably prevent wash trading) volume is of course much lower – $85 million. This means that LTC’s liquidity is highly inflated and overstated by whopping 37x.

Moreover, LTC comparatively has a solid buy support, according to coinmarketbook.cc. Buy support is measuring sum of buy orders at 10% distance from the highest bid price. This way we can eliminate fake buy walls and whale manipulation and see the real interest of the market in a certain coin. LTC currently has a sound $19m of buy orders measured with this method, which sets LTC buy support/market cap ratio at 0.43%, a slightly above average value. Bitcoin and Ethereum have a 0.27% and 0.28% ratios, respectively. This novel metric indicates there are a lot of manipulations, inflated liquidity and fake orders on all crypto trading pairs, including LTC pairs.

Social Metrics

Litecoin’s sentiment score, measured by the market analytics firm Predicoin, paints a neutral picture. Predicoin wraps its analysis up into a single simple indicator known as the SentScore, which is formed from

the combination of five different verticals:

  1. News
  2. Social Media
  3. Buzz
  4. Technical Analysis
  5. Fundamentals

Interpreting the SentScore’s scale:

  • 0 to 2.5: very negative
  • 2.5 to 4.0: somewhat negative zone
  • 4.0 to 6.0: neutral zone
  • 6.0 to 7.5: somewhat positive zone
  • 7.5 to 10: very positive

Litecoin currently has a Sentscore of 4.9, a significant drop from the 6.5 it had back on April 10th. Overall, Predicoin’s Sentscore is an excellent indicator of community interest and can provide useful insight into which coins are trending right now. Litecoin is obviously not one of them.

Mid May Update: Fundamentals

To assess fundamental health of a project, we used the FCAS metric. FCAS is a comparative metric whose score is derived from the interactivity between primary project lifecycle fundamentals: User Activity, Developer Behavior, and Market Maturity.

There are a few sub components which provide data to each fundamental:

User Activity is comprised of Project Utilization and Network Activity
Developer Behavior is comprised of Code Changes, Code Improvement and Community Involvement
Market Maturity is comprised of Liquidity and Market Risk. Market Maturity has less than 5% impact on a project’s overall FCAS.

FCAS ratings are on a 0-1000 point scale with a corresponding letter grade. Break points are based on standard deviations in the underlying component distributions. 900 – 1000 is marked as S for superb. 750 – 899 is marked as A for attractive. 650 – 749 is marked as B for basic. 500 – 649 is marked as C for caution. And finally, below 500 is marked as fragile.

Litecoin has been ranked as the B category – basic with overall 746 points as of May 7th. By far the strongest metric that contributed to this great score is user activity that got 901 points, followed by market maturity with 769 and user activity that had only 624 points. This is a data backed claim that litecoin is not that great off fundamentally, especially its development side.

Below are some of the most important news around the project in the last 30 days.

  • One particular happening heats the hopes of LTC holders as a potential instigator of a larger scale bull run. That is halvening or halving, bound to happen in August. Litecoin’s second block reward halving will take place in less than 4 months, with the reward for each block reduced from 25 LTC to 12.5 LTC.
    Historically speaking, halvings have been a big deal, for both bitcoin and litecoin. The halving day does not immediately impact the price of Litecoin. Instead, the effects are felt sometimes months ahead, followed by a surge in price in the following months.
  • TD Ameritrade is a popular broker for trading traditional financial assets and has already made its entry into the cryptocurrency industry. The electronic trading platform is among the backers of an upcoming cryptocurrency exchange called ErisX. ErisX is an exchange that is targeting institutional investors. The platform will offer investors the ability to trade the cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC), Litecoin (LTC) and Ethereum (ETH) on spot and futures markets.

Below is our long-term forecast where we cover general market movements and sentiment shifts before delving deeper into the specific predictions for LTC. Litecoin was created back on 7th Oct 2011 by Charlie Lee, an ex-Google employee, who quit working in order to focus on Litecoin full time. Charlie is very active on Twitter. You can read his blog here. Litecoin was designed to complement Bitcoin by solving issues like transaction timings and concentrated mining pools.

Will Litecoin Survive Beyond 2019

Litecoin [LTC] is one of the coins that suffered biggest hit by the bear market. The overall market cap has dropped below $2.5 billion and seems the shedding is not over yet. It is a well known fact that Charlie Lee sold at the peak of LTC price and tweeted a very good advice to the rest of the holders: On December 12th, 2017, Charlie Lee sent out a tweet telling people not to get too excited with the unsustainable bull run. Charlie warned about the pending multi-year bear market and that anyone who could not handle Litecoin (LTC) dropping to $20 should not buy it. While many attacked him as a FUD instigator, his reasons for making these assertions were rock solid and since LTC is now hovering just aboe $30. Charlie explained that every time the crypto market rises up too fast, it overshoots its real value, which leads to a huge correction, and a price consolidation. Charlie’s predictions have come true.

Charlie is not active in LTC for quite some time – it has been years since he contributed to the development of the once second largest cryptocurrency, that is now ranked at number 7 on CMC rankings. Being dubbed the silver to Bitcoin’s gold, Litecoin was introduced in 2011 as a quick fix that was supposed to solve some problems typical of Bitcoin. With new projects flooding the market in the recent years, Litecoin’s role seems to be thing of a past – LTC is the odd man out and nobody can bring about a solid argumentation for Litecoin’s purpose in the future. And the reason I think Litecoin is dead is not because of its price – it dropped together with the whole market and not by its own fault. The reason is lack of unique value proposition – it is just blunt copy of bitcoin with couple of parameters changed. It was that back in 2011 and it is that still in 2018. This lack of vision and will for separation from bitcoin and creation of your own niche will cost Litecoin its existence.

Litecoin can do everything Bitcoin can and it is often called a testnet for bitcoin. But who needs a multi-billion testnet – who needs two identical projects as one is enough and this is a winner takes all battle. Litecoin depends on Bitcoin. This is not just a hypothesis, this was Charlie’s vision from the project’s inception.

LTC enjoyed the treatment as a bitcoin’s little brother – technology was similar so exchanges and wallets could easily integrate it where ever they integrated bitcoin. This gave it exposure and liquidity which drove its price up especially as many would use it for faster transactions between exchanges or wallets as it had faster transaction time than bitcoin. In the meantime, there are many other coins that can be used for this purpose that are even faster and cheaper, almost free (Nano for example).

With Coinbase and other exchanges adding new projects, the top 10 market caps being dominated by some very diverse and colorful coins and a general lack of media attention and focus on Litecoin unless it makes some significant price movement, I’m not sure what would motivate new comers do the research necessary to learn about Litecoin’s potential. So if Litecoin’s utility as a micro-payment solution is now in question, where does it stand? I suppose it could be the “silver” to Bitcoin’s “gold”, but if Bitcoins are (basically) infinitely divisible and act as a good store of value, then what does Litecoin do?

As Bitcoin network keeps being optimized and upgraded with new innovations like Lightning Network, use cases of Litecoin will disappear and so will its reason to exist. Litecoin doesn’t have the name recognition that Bitcoin has. It does have a fantastic advantage to make improvements to itself much faster than Bitcoin does, but with the rise of so many other projects that have base codes that are already more fit for micro-transactions and scaling, has Litecoin missed the train? I would say yes.

LTC will continue to drop as investors move towards projects that are more realistic in their goals. If anyone replaces fiat, it is going to be bitcoin and not litecoin. Litecoin’s boon and curse has been its mirroring of bitcoin – they enjoyed the ride in the past but with every market contraction, we will lose projects that have no reason to exist, like Litecoin.

Our Litecoin 2019 Price Prediction

LTC, as the rest of the market, is tightly coupled and dependent on bitcoin’s price action. If bitcoin embarks on another bull run, LTC can hope for one as well. Since that is very unlikely, don’t expect much to change for LTC price-wise in this year. So 2019 will be a year of boring sideways action with minor bitcoin ignited jumps and slumps.

In general:

The main currency in cryptocurrency markets is Bitcoin and given this, altcoins tend to fuel Bitcoin runs and Bitcoin tends to do the same in return. Given this relationship, Bitcoin price movements (or lack thereof) tend to effect altcoin prices.

When Bitcoin goes up swiftly, it will likely:

  1. Suppress or depress altcoins as money flows into Bitcoin;
  2. Or, take altcoins along for the ride

In cases when Bitcoin plunges, it will likely:

  1. Depress altcoins as money flows into fiat;
  2. Or, cause altcoins  to boom as money flows into them, but this is rarely the case.

When Bitcoin moves sideways, it will likely:

  1. Cause altcoins to mimic that as traders wait for a clear sign on the direction of the market;
  2. Or, cause altcoins to flourish as traders look for returns in altcoins and try to get favorable trades in terms of BTC pairs.

To summarize, Bitcoin is the focal point of the crypto market in many ways, and with BTC trading pairs on every exchange, the gravity of Bitcoin is hard to evade. The majority of projects will fail — some startups are created just to gather funds and disappear, some would not handle the competition, but most are just ideas that look good on paper, but in reality, are useless for the market. 

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum said:

“There are some good ideas, there are a lot of very bad ideas, and there are a lot of very, very bad ideas, and quite a few scams as well”

As a result, over 95% of successful ICOs and cryptocurrency projects will fail and their investors will lose money. The other 5% of projects will become the new Apple, Google or Alibaba in the cryptoindustry. Will LTC be among those 5%? Hard to tell but probability for that is higher than with most other coins primarily for 2 reasons: solid use case and legit team behind the project. All of this summed up means one thing: LTC might live through couple of orchestrated and, for a regular trader, completely unpredictable pumps but the majority of time will be murky sideways trading with small volume and no significant interest from the market. 

Price will heavily depend on what BTC will do and since many analysts think BTC will not be making big moves in this year, it is hard to expect LTC will do them either. The price will probably stagnate and record slow-moving depreciation or appreciation depending on the team activity, potential technological breakthrough or high-level partnership.

Market prediction for Litecoin price

Litecoin is an original gangster coin, bitcoin’s copy from the old days, one of the strongest brands in crypto space. Let’s check what are the market experts or crypto editorials saying.

  • Trading Beasts
    A crypto forecast website called trading beasts predicted that by the end of 2019, LTC might reach around $80, and only a bit higher in 2020 – predicted to rise up to $95.
  • Crypto Ground
    Here comes a more optimistic prediction of cryptoground, where they say that by 2019 end, LTC might reach $90, and in five years litecoin might reach $324.
  • CoinFan
    CoinFan is a website that offers price forecasts for every relevant cryptocurrency. Their algorithm is awfully bullish as they predict that Litcoin might reach $472 by 2019 end, and might reach $1687 by 2020 end.
  • Wallet Investor
    Wallet Investor is known for their pragmatic cryptocurrency prediction. They believe that LTC might drop to single digits – $3.17 by December 2019, where the year high price might be around $45.

Article Produced By
Torsten Hartmann

Torsten Hartmann has been an editor in the CaptainAltcoin team since August 2017. He holds a degree in politics and economics. He gained professional experience as a PR for a local political party before moving to journalism. Since 2017, he has pivoted his career towards blockchain technology, with principal interest in applications of blockchain technology in politics, business and society.

https://captainaltcoin.com/litecoin-ltc-price-prediction-update-05-20-2019/

 

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Just 376 People Found to Own a Third of All Ether Cryptocurrency

Just 376 People Found to Own a Third of All Ether Cryptocurrency

 

                                  

 
  • New study says so-called whales don’t move Ether prices much

  • Bitcoin price found to be good indicator of where Ether trades

Just 376 people hold a third of all Ether, the cryptocurrency that powers the Ethereum blockchain, according to new research by Chainalysis Inc.Large holders are known in the crypto market as “whales,” which Chainalysis defines as individuals who hold their assets in digital wallets and not on an exchange, Kim Grauer, a senior economist at the company, said in an interview. By comparison, 448 people own 20 percent of all Bitcoin, she said.Chainalysis also looked at the effect Ether whales have on price, and found that large holders don’t move their cryptocurrency often.

“The majority of whales aren’t traders,” she said. “They’re mostly holding.”

The study also found that when a whale moves Ether from a wallet to an exchange, there is a small but statistically significant effect on market volatility. Investor sentiment and the price of Bitcoin are strong indicators of where Ether will trade, the Chainalysis research found. As Bitcoin rallied 52 percent since the beginning of May, Ether rose 48 percent.

Grauer plans to turn the research into an academic paper analyzing the effect of large Ether holders on the market and will discuss the data Wednesday at the Consensus blockchain conference in New York. “We’re excited to bring the models that have been applied to the stock market to cryptocurrencies,” she said. The data on Ether was collected from early 2016 to the end of April, before Ether and Bitcoin surged in recent weeks. “It’s unfortunate this bull run didn’t happen a month ago to be part of our analysis,” she said, adding that the link between Bitcoin’s price and that of Ether backs up their findings.

Article Produced By
Matthew Leising

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-15/just-376-people-found-to-own-a-third-of-all-ether-cryptocurrency

 

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)

Bullish Or Not: People Who Sold Bitcoin At The Low Are Buying Back In

Bullish Or Not: People Who Sold Bitcoin At The Low Are Buying Back In

                                

 

Someone bought Bitcoin back in 2013, sold out in 2014,

and now they’re back trying to get back in the game. That’s according to a tweet by Jake Chervinsky. Apparently, the guy in question is his close friend. In Jake’s opinion, this kind of stuff goes to show that the Bitcoin market has come a long way, and that’s why it’s attracting people who had already jumped out of the boat earlier on. Jake goes on to argue that the fact that people like his friend are dipping their hands back into the crypto business years after they walked and at a time when the crypto has already gone up value means that the market is now bullish.

In For The Long HODL

Going on and in response to a commenter, Jake said he was sure his friend is now getting on board to hang onto the Bitcoin for the long hodl. Of late, numerous analysts and Bitcoin fans have claimed that the crypto is yet to achieve its true potential, with some even arguing that Bitcoin could one day be worth over $250,000. Others believe Bitcoin is on track to replace Gold as a store of value. That’s probably one reason friends like Jake’s are buying even as the crypto is way more valuable than when they sold out.

Insider Knowledge?

Asked about the possibility of the SEC approving a Bitcoin ETF soon, Jake opined that either a yes or no decision is imminent. However, one of the thread contributors was wary that the current Bitcoin surge may be as a result of possible insider trading by people who know about the pending decision.

FOMO And Rekt?

Jake’s tweet wasn’t without some pessimists at the corner, claiming that Jake’s friend buying of Bitcoin during the current surge may have been influenced by FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), As such, the user argued that such action wouldn’t be bullish as Jake claims but rather bearish. However, Jake was quick to point out that the fact that his friend didn’t buy back during the 2017 surge disapproves the bearish notion.

Article Produced By
Nick James

Nick is a cool guy with lots of love for technology especially cryptocurrencies and blockchain. He likes to share the juicy nitty-gritty about the latest developments in the crypto world. When he's not immersed in his crypto world and creative mindset, you can find him having fun with friends and family. Contact: Nickjames [at] zycrypto.com

https://zycrypto.com/bullish-or-not-people-who-sold-bitcoin-at-the-low-are-buying-back-in/

Deb Williams (hodlthrive)